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Insight
Insight

December 2005

NOTES

Publisher's Note Patsy Wurster

Welcome to the 2006 Global Energy Outlook issue of Platts Insight. Last year, our inaugural Global Energy Outlook issue was a fantastic success, reaching more than 30,000 industry executives around the globe. This year's issue again gives you critical insight from the industry's most trusted information source. Read More

Guest Editor's Note Dr. Robert Peltier, PE

Perhaps the biggest news in the market and country reports prepared by Platts senior editors for this issue of Insight is the emergence of China onto the world energy stage and the resultant ripple effects on markets. Read More

AUTHORS

Authors Mark Davidson

Mark Davidson is Editorial Director for Platts' North American natural gas news coverage. Based in Washington, D.C., Mark also has served as Chief Editor of Gas Daily and Managing Editor of Inside FERC's Gas Market Report. A graduate of the E.W. Scripps School of Journalism at Ohio University, Mark wasa general assignment and local governmentreporter for daily newspapers in Ohio and Virginia for nearly a decade before joining Platts in November 1995. Read More

OIL

Little breathing space for oil

Man and nature have conspired to produce an oil production perfect storm that has pushed crude prices to new highs and that isn't likely to reverse course any time soon. Read More

Price increases since 2001

*Crude: $50/barrel Read More

COAL

Coal markets squeeze producers

Supply/demand fundamentals seem poised to keep prices of competing fossil fuels high, which could cushion coal prices, but increased mining and transportation costs may squeeze producer profits. Are markets ready for more volatility? Read More

Will freight costs rise again?

*2004: $20/mt for a typical European cargo; $15 to $20/mt into Japan and Korea Read More

GAS

Spiking gas prices hit homeowners hard, and industrial users harder

With no easing of the supply/demand imbalance in sight, 2006 is almost certain to be a year of higher prices and increased market volatility. Read More

EIA price projection revisions, fall 2005

*Fourth-quarter estimate: added nearly 35% ($3/mmBtu) Read More

Proposed pipelines

*Wyoming to Ohio: 2 bcf/day Read More

ELECTRIC

Power generation industry pulled in many directions

While American utilities grapple with the impacts of doubled natural gas prices and the Energy Policy Act of 2005, their European counterparts are focusing on consolidation and carbon control. Read More

Open season for merger announcements

*Exelon: buying Public Service Enterprise Group for $25.7 billion Read More

RENEWABLES

Renewable energy: Can supply meet demand?

The renewable energy industry has enjoyed a banner year, and new laws in the U.S. and China offer prospects for continued expansion. But will equipment supply shortages cause the renewable energy growth machine to sputter? Read More

Wind gets the wind at its back

*Production tax credit renewal is powering wind farm construction Read More

Solar concentrator projects for 2006

*Australia: EnvironMission's 50-MW solar tower Read More

PETROCHEMICALS

Get used to more-volatile petrochemical prices 1.     Input/output. Finite element analysis of the price of low-density polyethylene reveals a close correlation with crude oil prices.

With chemical prices swinging even more widely than those for oil, the industry is eyeing financial derivatives as a way to mitigate risk. Read More

Surplus ethylene capacity

*Middle East: 7 million metric tons Read More

Ethylene price growth

*2000: 5% Read More

TOP 250 GLOBAL ENERGY COMPANIES*

Platts Top 250 Global Energy Company Rankings Platts Top 250 Global Energy Company Rankings

Revenues and profits for many firms surged last year over previous years. The turnaround from our last global survey is dramatic. Read More

Industry segments analyzed

• Diversified utilities Read More

CHINA

Does the future belong to China?

China's emergence as the only country with a credible chance of challenging America's status as the globe's only superpower has dramatically reshaped the way commodities like oil, coal, and nonferrous metals are traded and valued. Read More

Energy needed to fuel growing Chinese economy

*Car sales: rose 17% in the first nine months of 2005 Read More

RUSSIA

Mergers, fears of oil renationalization spark Russian market instabilities

Russia remained in the worldwide energy spotlight this year despite a notable slowdown in the growth of its oil production from the heady rates of 2004. A year dominated by corporate deals and failures has resulted in a big shakeup, with the government taking a central role in the drive to find new markets for the country's abundant energy reserves. Read More

Russian energy kings

*Power of the state: Rosneft and Gazprom join list of leading oil producers Read More

GLOBAL LEADERS PROFILE - SPECIAL ADVERTISING SECTION

2005 Global Energy Leaders

On behalf of the 60,000 men and women of Capgemini around the world, I would like to extend congratulations to all winners of the 2005 Platts Global Energy Awards. Read More

AES São Paulo skyline: AES distribution company AES Electropaulo provides power to five million customers in São Paulo, Brazil.

Spanning 26 countries on five continents, AES generates and provides power to people in more countries around the world than any other company. For almost 25 years, AES has provided the critical energy needed to power communities and economies the world over. And our global impact is as wide-ranging as our scale: our generation and utilities businesses have the capacity to serve 100 million people worldwide. Read More

Constellation Energy Mayo A. Shattuck III Chairman, President & CEO, Constellation Energy

Constellation Energy is North America's number one supplier of energy to retail commercial and industrial customers and its largest wholesale power seller. We're an innovative and experienced nuclear fleet operator and own and operate power plants throughout the United States. Constellation Energy delivers electricity and natural gas in Central Maryland through our regulated utility, the Baltimore Gas and Electric Company (BGE). Number 167 on the Fortune 500 list, we have nearly two centuries of energy experience and one of the strongest, most stable balance sheets in the industry. Combined revenues in 2004 totaled $12.5 billion. Read More

Elster Electricity, LLC Mark L. Munday CEO and President, Elster Electricity, LLC

Elster Electricity is an industry leader in the development of smart meters and Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) systems. In 2003, Elster Electricity released the EnergyAxis® System—a comprehensive AMI solution for residential, commercial, and industrial electricity metering applications. Additionally, water meters covered by the electricity meter communication infrastructure can be read and billed, or monitored for leakage. The EnergyAxis System uses a powerful two-way RF communication system to retrieve metering information directly from meters. The system enables utilities to not only deploy automated meter reading (AMR) systems, but also gives utilities many additional tools to improve business operations. Read More

Entergy Corporation J. Wayne Leonard Chief Executive Officer, Entergy Corporation

After following a back-to-basics strategy since 1998, Entergy Corporation moved beyond the basics in 2004. Entergy returned excess cash to shareholders—via a 20 percent dividend increase and a $1.5 billion stock repurchase—while still investing in long-term growth. For the fifth consecutive year, its stock price achieved an all-time high. The company's 2004 performance won it the utility industry's highest accolade, the Edison Award (its second victory in three years). Entergy also received the Edison Electric Institute's award—for a second consecutive time—for having the industry's best financial return over the prior five years. Entergy investors realized a 149 percent 1999–2004 return—3.5 times greater than the S&P Electric Utilities Index. Read More

Foundation Coal Holdings, Inc. James F. Roberts Chief Executive Officer, Foundation Coal Holdings, Inc.

Foundation Coal Holdings, Inc., a publicly traded company since 2004, ranks among the five leading coal producers in the United States. Foundation Coal through its subsidiaries employs more than 2,900 workers with 13 high-tech mining operations located within the four major coal producing regions of the country: Powder River Basin, Northern Appalachia, Central Appalachia and the Illinois Basin. Read More

GAIL (India) Ltd. Proshanto Banerjee Chairman and Managing Director, GAIL (India) Limited

GAIL (India) Ltd. is India's principal natural gas transmission and marketing company with activities expanding to gas processing for fractionating liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), propane, SBP solvent and pentane; transmission of LPG; petrochemicals like HDPE and LLDPE; and leasing bandwidth in telecommunications. The company has extended its presence in power, liquefied natural gas (LNG) regasification, city gas distribution, and exploration and production. The company recorded a turnover of US$2.75 billion and profit after tax of US$434.2 million in the year 2004–05. Read More

Gazpromexport Alexander Medvedev Deputy Chairman of Gazprom's Management Committee, Director General, Gazpromexport

Russia holds about one-third of world gas reserves. Almost two-thirds of Russian reserves are controlled by Gazprom, the world's largest natural gas company. Exports from Russia are handled by Gazpromexport, a subsidiary of Gazprom. Read More

International Transmission Company Joseph L. Welch President & CEO, International Transmission Co.

International Transmission Company has redefined the energy industry through the realization of the vision of an independent transmission company business model. As the nation's first fully independent transmission company, International Transmission has raised the bar by dramatically increasing capital and maintenance investment in order to address the historical lack of national investment that lead to such issues and events as the Blackout of 2003. This business model was validated following the successful initial public offering of International Transmission's parent company, ITC Holdings Corp. The beginning of International Transmission's story was fueled by vision, faced with seemingly insurmountable challenges and ultimately resulted in a successful start-up business forging the future of the industry, all in just over two years. Read More

KeySpan Corporation Robert B. Catell Chairman & CEO, KeySpan Corporation

A company is more than the sum of its parts, and for KeySpan Corporation's 10,000 employees, that indefinable something can be called pride. According to Robert B. Catell, KeySpan's chairman and chief executive officer, "Pride in what we do, what we are, and what we can be, is what defines KeySpan." Read More

PJM Interconnection Phillip G. Harris President & CEO, PJM Interconnection

Phillip G. Harris, a 30-year energy industry veteran, is president and chief executive officer of PJM Interconnection and chairman of the PJM Board. PJM, the nation's first fully functioning regional transmission organization, administers the world's largest energy market and operates the world's largest electricity grid. Read More

Celebrating 10 Years of Success John Talley President, ProLiance Energy

ProLiance Energy, an Indianapolis-based gas marketing and trading company, is celebrating the 10th anniversary of its formation. Formed as a start-up joint venture between affiliates of Vectren Corporation (NYSE "VVC") and Citizens Gas & Coke Utility, an Indiana public charitable trust, the ProLiance Energy joint venture represents an innovative gas supply alliance that has successfully met the challenges of deregulated interstate natural gas markets and provided substantial benefits to customers. Read More

Shell Global Solutions Paul Hamilton President, Shell Global Solutions (US) Inc.

Shell Global Solutions is one of the world's leading providers of cutting-edge consultancy and technology services to the upstream E&P, petrochemical and processing industries. With a truly global reach, proven implementation skills and a broad portfolio of tools and techniques, we strive to make a difference across the entire spectrum of hydrocarbon management. Read More

The Tennessee Valley Authority Bill Baxter Chairman, The Tennessee Valley Authority

The Tennessee Valley Authority is a federal corporation established by Congress to produce electricity, manage the Tennessee River and other natural resources, and promote the economic development of the Tennessee Valley. Read More

Xcel Energy Richard Kelly President and CEO, Xcel Energy

Xcel Energy's Richard Kelly rolled up his sleeves on July 1, 2005, as Xcel Energy's new President and CEO. It is work he and his predecessor, Wayne Brunetti, initiated two years ago—shifting away from a deregulated business model back to capitalize on the company's traditional utility roots. Kelly, who has a 36-plus-year tenure in the utility industry, recognizes Xcel Energy's success hinges on serving customers and investors through solid growth, social responsibility, employee commitment and excellent service. Read More

CUSTOMER SATISFACTION

Progress Energy receives J.D. Power and Associates Founder's Award

J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES RECENTLY presented its Founder's Award to Progress Energy, a leading diversified energy company headquartered in Raleigh, N.C. This award recognizes Progress Energy for its commitment to customer service. J.D. Power, III presented this award during the 7th annual Platts Global Energy Awards at the historic Roosevelt Hotel in New York City on December 1, 2005. Read More

GLOBAL ENERGY AWARDS

Energy boom raises the bar

2005 was a boom year for the energy industry. But it was a helluva tough year in which to win a Global Energy Award. Read More

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