ASIA SPOT LNG: Platts Jan JKM up at $15.85/MMBtu on tight supply, tender

Singapore (Platts)--30Nov2012/519 am EST/1019 GMT


Platts January LNG Japan Korea Marker ended the week higher at $15.85/MMBtu on the back of tight supply and an impending buy tender from Argentina for its 2013 supply.

The January JKM started at $15.10/MMBtu Monday.

Argentina's state energy company Enarsa may seek up to 80 cargoes of LNG in its buy tender for 2013, which it may issue next week, market sources who received the pre-tender document told Platts Thursday. Enarsa is currently conducting a pre-qualification process among LNG sellers, the sources said, adding that the company did not give details on the price basis for the tender.

For the 2012 tender, Enarsa awarded contracts for the delivery of 56 cargoes of 138,000 cu m each, less than the up to 80 cargoes it had originally set out to buy, Platts previously reported.

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Besides impending demand from Argentina, spot supply for the period continued to remain tight even as Norway's Statoil restarted its Snohvit LNG plant.

Statoil said Wednesday that production at its 4.3 million mt/year Hammerfest LNG plant has resumed after a temporary closure, following a power failure on November 19.

"Interference to the power system, which arose during maintenance work on the plant's battery-based reserve power supply, led to the plant's own power and that from the grid being switched off," the company said in a statement.

BP Indonesia, operator of the Tangguh LNG plant, expects its 3.8 million mt/year Train 2 to resume operations in mid-December, after completion of repairs by early next month.

Total resumed supplying feed gas to Nigeria LNG recently. "We still have a force majeure in place ... no idea when the force majeure will be lifted as it is an operational matter," a NLNG spokesperson told Platts.

Meanwhile, existing projects such as Yemen LNG were just recovering production after a pipeline bombing, while cargoes from Trinidad [& Tobago] were going to fulfill original term obligations, a Singapore-based producer said. This further reduced spot supply for the period.

A lack of vessels and additional costs associated with shipping a cargo from Europe to Asia combined to reduce LNG volumes that could be released from Europe, a Singapore-based trader said. "With the January UK National Balancing Point gas hub price close to $11/MMBtu, sellers will add $5/MMBtu to offer Atlantic cargoes at around $16/MMBtu," the trader added. Freight for a Belgium to Japan/South Korea journey was $3.80/MMBtu Friday, according to Platts data.

"You can only keep the Atlantic-Asia freight cost under $4/MMBtu if you don't have to reposition your ship," the same trader said. Repositioning an LNG vessel requires charterers to ballast an empty ship from its original position to the loading port. Ships transporting LNG from Europe to Asia typically sail through the Suez Canal.

"If you sail through the Suez Canal, you have to wait to convoy with other vessels and a naval escort to protect your ship from pirates off the coast of Somalia," a second Singapore-based trader said, adding that this would result in higher shipping, security and insurance costs.

With the onset of peak winter demand season, North Asian buyers showed firm interest for spot cargoes.

Cold weather gripped North Asia and provided potential demand for spot cargoes, sources said. Most of Japan, Asia's largest LNG buying country by volume, will have a 60% probability of below-normal cold temperatures from December 1 through 30, according to a forecast released by the Japan Meteorological Agency Friday.

Japan's three-month weather forecast for December to February indicates colder-than-normal weather for 10 of the country's 12 regions, according to data from the JMA November 23.

"[LNG] buyers in Japan look at the JMA data and since it is forecast to be cold, this could boost demand," a North Asian buyer said, adding that he was looking for two cargoes delivered in either January or February.

PetroChina could also be looking for up to two January shipments after buying a strip of December and January delivered cargoes sometime back, a Tokyo-based trader said.

PetroChina recently concluded a deal for a January shipment with Qatargas at $15.05/MMBtu, with the transaction setting the bar for any further January negotiations, sources said. PetroChina and Qatargas officials were not available for comment.

Platts January DES West India settled at $14.20/MMBtu, up from Monday's $13.15/MMBtu.

Indian buyers continued to show interest in December and January spot LNG, providing competition for other Asian buyers. State-owned gas utility GAIL has issued a buy tender seeking a mid-December delivered shipment, a Singapore-based source said, but was unable to provide more details. GAIL officials were not available for comment.

--Hong Chou Hui, chou_hui_hong@platts.com
--Edited by Geetha Narayanasamy, geetha_narayanasamy@platts.com