September 2009 Archives

US refinery margins sink

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US refining margins fell last week as product price losses outstripped a fall in crude prices, Platts and Turner Mason & Company data showed Tuesday. The fall in margins could lead to additional refinery run cuts and, as a result, a growth in crude inventories.

Oil market "teetering on the edge," warns Verleger

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Are oil prices about to take a dive? Analyst Philip Verleger thinks so. "The oil market is teetering on the edge," Verleger said in a report. "Prices will fall sharply absent immediate and dramatic action."
Last weekend Singapore was in the spotlight, and not just because of the light-up of Little India heralding Deepavali or the Festival of Lights celebrated by Indians around the world -- including the island nation. Lights were shining on some of the world's most expensive and fastest cars as they raced around for the second Formula 1 Night Race. 
The idea of deriving biofuels from algae could be dismissed as weird science or wishful thinking. Yet now that the likes of ExxonMobil and Dow, giants of the refining and petrochemicals world, are getting involved along with other big business names, the slippery and currently evasive algae could gain traction as an energy source. Still, the proof will be in the ascension of a profitable, commercialized algae oil business.

Hidden immunity idol boosts Hantz's 'Survivor' security

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Oil industry representative Russell Hantz has secured an important early advantage toward winning this season's Survivor: Samoa reality TV show with discovery of the all-important hidden immunity necklace in an unorthodox fashion, CBS revealed Thursday night on the second installment of the show.

Hantz's discovery of the necklace emerged as the leading highlight from the show, which covered life among the contestant-castaways last summer on days four through six of their competitive 39-day adventure.  Possession of that immunity necklace will likely prevent any of his tribemates from banishing him from the show until deep into the season, securing Hantz a powerful advantage toward claiming the $1 million prize that comes with designation as the "ultimate survivor."
"The enemy has been plotting against us for 30 years, but our revolutionary forces in the oil industry have slapped them in the face."
 
"Some have announced that they will sanction petrol to Iran. This cannot be done."

Bear attack

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Bears in the oil market had a difficult time last week, what with a soaring equities market and a sagging US dollar. The bears had low demand and high inventories on their side, but those seemed to be no match for the promise of demand recovery in the months to come.

But the bears are back this week, so far, courtesy of some fresh data out of the US Energy Information Administration, and China.

Things that go bump in the night

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Driving back from Sharjah the other night, it was eerily dark as we drove through the so-called industrial area. "Do we pass the mad house?" asked a fellow passenger as we tried to maneuver around the unfamiliar streets of this UAE emirate. "What mad house?" screeched another passenger as the black car rumbled past a deserted palace, where rumor has it the chairs do jigs on the ceiling and things often go bump in the night in a building that is permanently dark.

Meet the oil industry's newest high-profile 'villain'

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The oil patch boasts a new high-profile "villain," but this time we won't be seeing him in a perp walk outside a federal courthouse somewhere. Nope, in this case you can catch him every Thursday night on TV working maliciously to upset the rhythm of the iconic CBS reality show Survivor. And the Platts Oil Barrel plans to follow along, reporting his weekly antics as he attempts to "outplay, outwit and outlast" 19 other Survivor contestants vying for a prize of $1 million that goes to the last one standing sometime near the end of the year.

His name is Russell Hantz -- owner of Hantz Tankering in Dayton, Texas, near Houston. He's made no secret of his strategy for this season, which debuted last Thursday in Samoa.

Lost in the financial chaos of the 2009 downcycle is the emergence of what appears to be a fundamental change in the way the industry deploys rigs for land drilling in North America. That change will result in a need for fewer rigs once the industry shakes off the recession and returns to work, according to a handful of analysts, led by Jim Crandell at Barclays Capital.

Grabbing a propane-run taxi is nothing unusual in Tokyo, but you need to be lucky to catch a hybrid taxi. Soon, you may have a much better chance of grabbing hybrids anywhere in Tokyo, and other major cities in Japan.

Recently, I was one of the fortunate few to catch a ride in Toyota's best-selling hybrid, the Prius. My driver excitedly told me about his three-month long experience with the new vehicle. Hybrid cars are no longer part of tomorrow's world here, and they are already helping slash demand for gasoline across Japan.

A mix of jubilation and fear is in the air in Tokyo today. Yukio Hatoyama has been sworn in as the country's 93rd prime minister. In the few hours since he was approved by parliament, he has promised everything from straight talk with the Americans on beef and war, to slashing emissions by 25% in just ten years. 

Japan has turfed out the Liberal Democratic Party, dominant since 1955, and ushered in a new party with a new leader. The Japanese are certainly enjoying an Obama moment. And just like America back on January 20, the sight of a new leader promising sweeping change is bringing as much terror to Japan's vested interests as it is bringing euphoria to those who felt on the short end of Japan's decades-long deflation.

Fear is especially powerful for the Sogo Shosha, the middle-aged warrior class that feeds -- and feeds off -- Japan's giant $5 trillion-a-year economy. The Japanese insist, above all, that Hatoyama must finally fix the economy. And he's expected to take aim at the kind of cronyism that is their life-blood.

Who cares about OPEC compliance? Not OPEC

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It was pretty clear in the runup to OPEC's September 9 meeting that ministers were not going to change quotas.

But, given that there had been a lot of comments from OPEC ministers about falling adherence to those quotas and high inventories in the industrialized countries, it had been expected that the communique would call for stricter compliance.

OPEC sanguine about high oil inventories, set for rollover

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It's not unheard of for OPEC to spring surprises and come out with an unexpected decision on production but that looks highly unlikely at the meeting that will take place late on September 9.

Every utterance by ministers arriving in the Austrian capital over the past couple of days suggests that OPEC will again rubber-stamp the deal agreed last December to remove 4.2 million b/d of crude supply from world oil markets.

India's Jet may buckle under pilot strike

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The Indian airline industry received yet another blow September 8, when about 360 Jet Airways pilots went on an illegal strike in Mumbai to protest the dismissal of two union employees in August.

 

It's an old sporting adage and one that in England is often ascribed to the legendary football manager, Brian Clough. Ahead of a key soccer match, an interviewer posed the question of whether Clough could expect to win a game when, on paper, his team was clearly outclassed.

Clough, never short of a Churchillian response, coolly observed; "The game's not played on paper, young man. It's played on grass."

In days of yore, Asian refiners had always been able to bank on comfortable, if not cushy margins from cracking crude oil into middle distillates.
 
Even in early 2008, Asian refiners were enjoying record high sulfur gasoil crack spreads of more than $40/b against the Dubai crude it can be produced from, riding high from massive demand from China's stockpiling ahead of the Beijing Olympics, India's escalating domestic growth, refinery outages around the world and to fire up construction projects and transportation everywhere.  

One for the watercooler

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For doubting Thomases of Cash for Clunkers handouts, here's more fodder for skepticism in the face of what proved blowout media coverage: according to a University of California-Davis study, the federal government's Cash for Clunkers program is expected to have paid "at least 10 times the 'sticker price' to reduce emissions of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide."

 

"While carbon credits are projected to sell in the U.S. for about $28 per ton (today's price in Europe was $20), even the best-case calculation of the cost of the clunkers rebate is $237 per ton," the university said, citing a report by UC Davis transportation economist Christopher Knittel.

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