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European methanol Q4 contract price expected to roll over: sources

London (Platts)--26 Sep 2017 919 am EDT/1319 GMT


The European methanol fourth-quarter contract price will most likely remain unchanged despite falling spot prices, market participants say.

"I don't think [the contract price] will decrease even if the spot price drops another Eur5/mt by the end of the week," a source said.

The European spot price has fallen Eur11.50 over the past week to Eur260/mt ($306.50/mt) FOB Rotterdam Monday.

"I think a rollover is justified," a consumer source said.

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Market sources generally dismissed the idea of a lower CP but did not discard the idea of a modest increase.

"Rollover would make most sense but a Eur5/mt rise is also possible," the first source said.

The contract price was expected to increase a few weeks ago because of higher Asian markets which hit a six-month high of $360/mt.

However, since then, the market has fallen and was last assessed at $335/mt CFR China Monday.

Canada's Methanex increased its European Q4 CP by Eur10 to Eur330/mt at the beginning of last week.

--Michael Samueli, michael.samueli@spglobal.com
--Edited by Jonathan Dart, jonathan.dart@spglobal.com



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