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Platts Eclipse market view - UK Power Short term

'So what?'' and 'What next?'' are the two key questions we seek to answer in our analysis. What are the next developments or fundamental changes in the UK power market and how will they affect prices over the coming two years? How will fuel price changes reflect in generation margins? How much renewable generation capacity can we expect online over the next 12 months?


Platts Eclipse offers new insight through clear, meaningful and interesting analysis that supports our forecasts for out-turn prices.


What is the service?

  • A monthly report centred on a two year UK power price forecast, providing clarity on the main drivers of our forecasts with comprehensive coverage of our modelling inputs and logics
  • Forecasts of monthly wholesale UK Baseload, Peak and Overnight power prices and fuel spreads from month-ahead to the front three seasons
  • Price risk on our base case and market NBP deterministic forecasts tested using Monte Carlo simulations
  • A review of forecast performance, with comparisons against the market and back-testing using actual fundamentals
  • Regular ‘deep dive’ analysis, looking at the key issues affecting the market, and our forecast, each month
  • A review of market prices, supply, demand and other fundamental drivers with an eye on forward implications

How do we do this?

  • Our price forecasts combine up-to-date market data with our proprietary behavioural pricing models to produce an independent assessment of out-turn price over the next two years
  • A team of experts from a variety of backgrounds across the power markets strengthen our analysis and interpretation
  • Our European gas markets analysis enables us to take into account potential developments in the fuel price as well as capacity margins in our outright electricity price forecasts

Topics analyzed in recent reports:

  • Forecast impact of French nuclear constraints and IFA capacity cut on UK-France power flows
  • Demand dynamics – the impact of DSR measures and triad avoidance on peak demand
  • Coal and gas reliability improvements – a review of forced outage rates

Modular approach gives easy access:

Price forecast - Forecast of power prices and fuel spreads, with transparent inputs
List item - In depth focus on what is important right now
Market review – What has happened and what does it mean for the future?

FOR MORE INFORMATION

Platts.com CALL 08007528878

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SPEAK TO US ABOUT MARKET VIEW UK POWER SHORT TERM

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